PRDS702 Demographic Materials and Methods

1 

24 July 2025 (Add to your calendar)

• Demographic models

  • Mortality models 

  • Model stable populations 

  • Nuptiality models 

  • Fertility models 

​​

Readings 

1. United Nations (1983), pp. 11-26 

2. Newell, C. (1988), pp. 117-179 

2

21 August 2025 (Add to your calendar)

• Methods for evaluating data quality 

• Smoothing and graduation methods (osculatory interpolation) 

​

Readings 

1. Preston, Heuveline, and Guillot (2001), pp. 211-223

2. Arriaga (1994), pp. 23-32, 39-42

3. Shryock, Siegel, & Associates (1976), pp. 542-544, 554-557

3

18 September 2025 (Add to your calendar)

• Age, period, and cohort concept in demographic analysis

​

Readings

1. Halli & Rao (1992). Chapter 3 (pp. 37–61)

2. Hobcraft, Menken, & Preston (1982)

3. Heo, et al. (2017)

4. Galvão & da Silva (2023) 

4

16 October 2025 (Add to your calendar)

• Composition and decomposition 

• Use of decomposition techniques to study fertility, mortality, health, migration, and other demographic-related issues. 

​

Readings

1. Kitagawa (1955)

2. Arriaga (1984)

3. Retherford & Rele (1989)

4. Shen (1999)

5. Galle et al. (1993) 

5

20 November 2025 (Add to your calendar)

• Fertility estimation using number of children ever born 

• Brass method 

• Parity increment method 

​

Readings

• ​United Nations (1983), pp. 27-37, 41-45, 58-64 

6

18 December 2025 (Add to your calendar)

• Fertility estimation using reverse survival method 

​

Readings

• United Nations (1983), pp. 178-182 

7

15 January 2026 (Add to your calendar)

• Child mortality estimation using number of children ever born and children surviving 

​

Readings

• ​United Nations (1983), pp. 73-96 

8

19 February 2026 (Add to your calendar)

• Adult mortality estimation using distribution of deaths by age 

  • Preston & Coale (PC) method 

  • Brass growth balance (BGB) method 

​

Readings

• United Nations (1983), pp. 129-146 

9

19 March 2026 (Add to your calendar)

• Adult mortality estimation using successive census age distributions 

​

Readings

• United Nations (1983), pp. 196-222 

10

23 March 2026 (Add to your calendar)

• Migration

​

Readings

• TBD